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Scope 3 and net carbon intensity

NCI performance

In 2023, Shell's NCI was 74 grams of carbon dioxide equivalent per megajoule of energy (gCO2e/MJ), a 2.6% decrease from the previous year and a 6.3% reduction compared with the 2016 baseline. The decrease in Shell's NCI in 2023 was mainly achieved through a reduction in the average intensity of power sold and the use of carbon credits. The power intensity reduction was driven mainly by progress in grid decarbonisation in key markets such as the USA and Europe and partly by increased sales of renewable power including the retirement of Renewable Energy Certificates.

NCI performance

(equity boundary)

2023

2022

2021

2016

NCI [A] [B]

gCO2e/MJ

74

76

77

79

Estimated total energy delivered by Shell [C]

trillion (10^12) MJ

16.07

16.29

17.89

20.93

Estimated total GHG emissions included in NCI (net) [D]

million tonnes CO2e

1,185

1,240

1,375

1,645

Carbon credits

million tonnes CO2e

20.0

4.1

5.1

0.0

Estimated total GHG emissions (gross) [E]

million tonnes CO2e

1,205

1,244

1,381

1,645

[A]

All figures disclosed are rounded. In grams of carbon dioxide equivalent per megajoule.

[B]

Acquisitions and divestments are included in the actual performance tracking with the target and baseline year unchanged. Acquisitions and divestments could have a material impact on meeting the targets.

[C]

Volume of energy products sold, aggregated on an energy basis, with power represented as fossil equivalent. Energy products consist of energy oil products (gasoline, diesel, kerosene, fuel oil and LPG), GTL, biofuels, liquefied natural gas, pipeline gas and power. The NCI calculation uses energy product sales volumes data, disclosed in this Report where relevant. These sales volumes exclude certain contracts held for trading purposes and reported net rather than gross. Business-specific methodologies have been applied to net volumes of oil products, pipeline gas and power. Paper trades that do not result in physical product delivery are excluded. Retail sales volumes from markets where Shell operates under trademark licensing agreements are not included in the sales volumes reported by Shell and are therefore excluded from the scope of Shell´s NCI metric.

[D]

These numbers include well-to-wheel emissions associated with energy products sold, on an equity boundary basis; they also include the well-to-tank emissions associated with the manufacturing of energy products by others that are sold by Shell. Emissions associated with the manufacturing and use of non-energy products are excluded.

[E]

While the NCI is an intensity measure and not an inventory of absolute emissions, a notional estimate of the amount of GHG emissions covered by the scope of the NCI calculation can be derived from the final NCI value for any year. Similarly, a fossil-equivalent estimate of the total amount of energy sold included in the calculation can also be determined.

As part of our Powering Progress strategy, we aim to increase the share of low-carbon products in our energy product sales, which is the biggest driver for reducing our NCI.

Share of estimated total energy delivered per energy product type [A]-[B]

0 83 0 100 0 100 0 102 0 100 0 100 0 102 e Power a c Oil products and gas-to-liquids (GTL) Liquefied natural gas (LNG) b d Gas Biofuels 1% 24% 14% 7% 54% 2023 2022 2021 2016 a b c d e 1% 22% 20% 12% 44% 1% 22% 20% 12% 44% 1% 20% 21% 14% 44% a c Oil products and gas-to-liquids (GTL) Liquefied natural gas (LNG) e Power b d Gas Biofuels 0 100 0 100 0 102 0 100 0 100 0 102 2023 2022 2021 2016 1% 25% 18% 12% 45% 1% 20% 21% 14% 44% a b c d e 1% 22% 20% 12% 44%
[A] Percentage of delivered energy may not add up to 100% because of rounding.
[B] Total volume of energy products sold, aggregated on an energy basis (lower heating value) with power represented as fossil equivalents. Emissions included in the carbon intensity of power have been calculated using the market-based method. The carbon intensity of biofuels reflects the global average for biofuels sold in 2023.

Our ability to change the emissions intensity of each energy product varies depending on the product type:

  • Hydrocarbon fuels – emissions from end-use by customers are by far the biggest contributors to the carbon intensity of the product. As a result, the emissions intensity of hydrocarbon fuels is expected to stay relatively unchanged over time. This is why we are focused on helping our customers decarbonise.
  • Biofuels – can vary significantly in intensity depending on the feedstock and production process used.
  • Power – the emissions intensity of power can be highly variable depending on how it has been generated. The proportion of our renewable power sales and the generation mix in countries where we sell power to the market both affect Shell's overall power mix and its resulting emissions intensity.
Carbon intensity of energy products

 

 

 

 

gCO2e/MJ

 

2023

2022

2021

2016

Oil products and gas-to-liquids

91

91

91

89

Gas

66

65

66

67

Liquefied natural gas (LNG)

70

70

70

71

Biofuels

39

39

41

40

Power [A]

49

58

66

59

[A]

In 2021, we changed our approach to the estimation of the emissions intensity of the power we sell. This prospective change was the main driver for the intensity increase compared with 2016.

Carbon credits

 

 

 

Million carbon credits [A]

 

2023

2022

2021

2016

Total carbon credits [B]

 

 

 

 

Included in Shell's NCI metric [C]

20.0

4.1

5.1

0.0

Excluded from Shell's NCI metric [D]

1.8

1.7

1.3

0.0

[A]

One carbon credit represents the avoidance or removal of one metric tonne of CO2 equivalent.

[B]

Represents credits relating to transactions occurring in the financial year irrespective of the actual retirement date. Retirements from registries may take place after the year-end. Excludes carbon credits transactions executed by Shell on behalf of/with third parties without a link to Shell activities.

[C]

Carbon credits associated with the sale of energy products and carbon credits used to compensate for Shell Group emissions including operational emissions and emissions associated with the use of sold products.

[D]

Carbon credits retired in relation to sales of non-energy products and Shell's internal activity like corporate travel.

In 2023, Shell's NCI accounted for 20.0 million carbon credits, of which 4.0 million were linked to the sale of energy products. Of the carbon credit retirements included in Shell's NCI metric for 2023, 85% were certified by Verra, 9% by the American Carbon registry, 6% by Gold Standard, and less than 1% via Australian Carbon Credit Units.

Drivers of absolute Scope 3 emissions change in 2023

We sell more energy products than the energy products we produce ourselves, therefore, when we calculate our emissions, we include emissions from energy products that we produce ourselves as well as from the products that we purchase from others for resale. This is reflected in the scope for calculation of our emissions shown in the chart showing the Scope of NCI. Our strategy is based on working with our customers to address the emissions from the use of our products and to help them find ways to reduce their emissions to net zero by 2050.

Scope 3 emissions by category

GHG emissions (equity boundary), million tonnes CO2e [A]

2023

2022

2021

2016

Scope 3, Category 1: purchased goods and services

154

144

147

172

Scope 3, Category 3: fuel and energy-related activities

112

115

136

89

Scope 3, Category 9: downstream transport and distribution [B]

3

5

6

Scope 3, Category 11: use of sold products [C]

878

910

1,010

1,284

 

1,147

1,174

1,299

1,545

[A]

Categorised using the definitions from the GHG Protocol's Corporate Value Chain (Scope 3) Standard.

[B]

An estimate of Scope 3, Category 9 was not performed in 2016.

[C]

Customer emissions from the use of our oil products (Scope 3, Category 11) were 517 million tonnes CO2e in 2023, 569 million tonnes CO2e in 2021 and 819 million tonnes CO2e in 2016.

The reported Scope 3 emissions within the NCI boundary have reduced from 2022. The decrease is largely due to a reduction in sales of gas and refined oil products. Furthermore, Scope 3 emissions for our sales of power were comparable year on year as we sold more power but at a lower average intensity in 2023 compared with 2022.

For further details see shell.com/ghg

We undertake external verification of our GHG emissions annually. Our Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions from assets and activities under our operational control and emissions associated with the use of our energy products (Scope 3) included in our NCI have been verified to a level of limited assurance by LRQA Group Limited.

GHG
greenhouse gas
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NCI
net carbon intensity
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megajoule
a unit of energy equal to one million joules
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